Bowling Green has already clinched the MAC East, but they could use a win to get some momentum going into next weeks' conference championship game after a disappointing loss to Toledo in their home finale a week ago. Ball St. is playing for nothing but pride, but head coach Pete Lembo surely needs to finish the season on a high note after a disappointing 2015 campaign that began with bowl game expectations. Last year's Ball St. road win over the Falcons was the Cardinals' first win over Bowling Green since 1996, although they'd played only 6 times in the intervening 18 years.
As usual Bowling Green will be relying on gunslinging QB Matt Johnson, who still has a shot at going over 5000 yards passing this season, although his production fell off the last 2 games against stiffer competition. For the Falcons the problem has continued to be defensive letdowns against good teams, whose number frankly does not include Ball St. On the road, they are 4-2 ATS and 4-2 to the Under.
It's unlikely that Lembo is coaching for his job this week, who really knows, but he could sure use a win in the home finale to shore things up. The Cardinals' defense has been plainly dreadful though, surrendering 400+ yards in 10 of 11 games and 600+ in the last 2. When coupled with a below average offense, that's how we get to 3-8. Even with all this bad defense, they've been pretty strong for the Under, 7-4 overall and 4-1 at home. They are 2-4 ATS as the home team.